ATP tennis predict — Matteo Martineau vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Matteo Martineau

France

80.40%

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

France

19.60%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.98

Market probability

68.82% / 31.18%

Why This Prediction?

Matteo Martineau is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1611 vs 1369), a higher Elo rating (1502 vs 1351) and a stronger return game (44.6% vs 37.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1502.1 Elo 1351.4

1611.3 Elo (surface) 1369.0

145 Wins (Challenger) 19

79 Wins (surface) 10

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.251 Dominance ratio 0.969

335 Rank 508

27.5 Age 27.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

1st Serve In %

66.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.67

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

27.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matteo Martineau 0 – 0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Matteo Martineau #335

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #508

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

71 Service Points 79

54 First Serve In 63

30 First Serve Won 43

9 Second Serve Won 5

5 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Matteo Martineau vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine — Prediction