Matt Ponchet vs Marcel Zielinski — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
3.98 / 1.21
Market probability
23.31% / 76.69%
Why This Prediction?
Matt Ponchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1507 vs 1315), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1500 vs 1326) and more career match wins (1 vs 0).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Matt Ponchet
3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.
Marcel Zielinski
3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Matt Ponchet 0 – 0 Marcel Zielinski