← Back to Predictions

Matt Kuhar vs Roger Pascual Ferra — Prediction

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Matt Kuhar

USA

44.70%

Average Odds

5.65  /  1.11

Market probability

16.42%  /  83.58%

Why This Prediction?

Roger Pascual Ferra is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1442), a higher Elo rating (1534 vs 1448) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1448.0 Elo 1533.9
1442.4 Elo (surface) 1537.9
12 Wins (Challenger) 3
11 Wins (surface) 3
7 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.950 Dominance ratio 0.986
797 Rank 673
30.1 Age 20.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matt Kuhar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Roger Pascual Ferra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matt Kuhar Roger Pascual Ferra

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.3%
65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.2%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%
52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.04

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matt Kuhar Roger Pascual Ferra

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%
65.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%
55.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matt Kuhar and Roger Pascual Ferra have never played each other.

Matt Kuhar — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L L

Roger Pascual Ferra — Last 5

L W W W L