ATP tennis predict — Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Matt Kuhar

USA

57.65%

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Brazil

42.35%

Average Odds

2.60 / 1.36

Market probability

34.34% / 65.66%

Why This Prediction?

Matt Kuhar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1422 vs 1368), more wins on hard courts (11 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1416 vs 1372).

Player Comparison

1421.7 Elo 1367.7

1415.6 Elo (surface) 1372.1

12 Wins (Challenger) 25

11 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.067 Dominance ratio 1.090

785 Rank 527

30.2 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matt Kuhar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matt Kuhar Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.2%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matt Kuhar Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

55.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matt Kuhar 0 – 0 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos #528

Matt Kuhar #785

7-6 6-7 6-2

2 Aces 3

9 Double Faults 6

109 Service Points 98

70 First Serve In 62

47 First Serve Won 46

26 Second Serve Won 23

7 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos — Prediction