ATP tennis predict — Matisse Bobichon vs Jurij Rodionov

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Matisse Bobichon

France

21.19%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

78.81%

Average Odds

4.05 / 1.22

Market probability

23.15% / 76.85%

Why This Prediction?

Jurij Rodionov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1687 vs 1436), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1722 vs 1443) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1435.9 Elo 1686.5

1442.6 Elo (surface) 1722.3

9 Wins (Challenger) 237

9 Wins (surface) 164

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.999 Dominance ratio 1.082

639 Rank 143

24.6 Age 27.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matisse Bobichon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matisse Bobichon Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

—

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.7%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matisse Bobichon Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

—

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matisse Bobichon 0 – 0 Jurij Rodionov

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Jurij Rodionov #143

Matisse Bobichon #639

7-6 6-1

3 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 3

66 Service Points 74

43 First Serve In 37

27 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Matisse Bobichon vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction