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Matisse Bobichon vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Prediction

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Matisse Bobichon

France

40.74%

Eliakim Coulibaly

Ivory Coast

59.26%

Average Odds

1.90  /  1.80

Market probability

48.65%  /  51.35%

Why This Prediction?

Eliakim Coulibaly is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1636 vs 1591), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1640 vs 1585) and more career match wins (52 vs 11).

Player Comparison

1591.1 Elo 1635.9
1584.5 Elo (surface) 1639.7
11 Wins (Challenger) 52
11 Wins (surface) 42
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.022 Dominance ratio 0.850
605 Rank 377
24.7 Age 24.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matisse Bobichon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Eliakim Coulibaly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matisse Bobichon Eliakim Coulibaly

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.3%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%
64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%
26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.7%
53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matisse Bobichon Eliakim Coulibaly

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matisse Bobichon 00 Eliakim Coulibaly

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-15
6-4 6-4
7 Aces 9
2 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
30 First Serve Won 27
14 Second Serve Won 9
3 Break Points Saved 4
3 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Matisse Bobichon — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L L

Eliakim Coulibaly — Last 10

L L L W W L L W W L