ATP tennis predict — Matias Soto vs Vitaliy Sachko

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Matias Soto

Chile

39.91%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

60.09%

Average Odds

2.84 / 1.39

Market probability

32.86% / 67.14%

Why This Prediction?

Vitaliy Sachko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1729 vs 1670), a stronger return game (41.7% vs 36.6% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1713 vs 1688).

Player Comparison

1669.7 Elo 1728.8

1688.4 Elo (surface) 1713.3

77 Wins (Challenger) 173

64 Wins (surface) 111

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.009 Dominance ratio 1.043

261 Rank 188

27.4 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matias Soto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

59.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.0%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matias Soto 0 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Vitaliy Sachko #188

Matias Soto #261

6-3 1-6 6-2

1 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 34

28 Second Serve Won 12

16 Break Points Saved 5

21 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Matias Soto vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction