ATP tennis predict — Matias Soto vs Sandro Kopp

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Matias Soto

Chile

43.22%

Sandro Kopp

Austria

56.78%

Average Odds

3.01 / 1.35

Market probability

30.96% / 69.04%

Why This Prediction?

Sandro Kopp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1602 vs 1583), the advantage of playing in his home country and a stronger return game (36.3% vs 35.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1582.5 Elo 1602.3

1596.7 Elo (surface) 1610.4

75 Wins (Challenger) 54

62 Wins (surface) 45

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.963 Dominance ratio 0.996

261 Rank 283

27.4 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matias Soto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Sandro Kopp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Sandro Kopp

1st Serve In %

59.9%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.0%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Sandro Kopp

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matias Soto 0 – 0 Sandro Kopp

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Matias Soto #261

Sandro Kopp #283

7-6 6-2

4 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 7

64 Service Points 64

37 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Matias Soto vs Sandro Kopp — Prediction