ATP tennis predict — Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · 1. round 10:10

Predicted probability

Matias Soto

Chile

47.25%

Rudolf Molleker

Germany

52.75%

Average Odds

2.63 / 1.45

Market probability

35.54% / 64.46%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1605.3 Elo 1558.1

1622.2 Elo (surface) 1592.7

74 Wins (Challenger) 142

61 Wins (surface) 114

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.977 Dominance ratio 0.976

262 Rank 481

27.3 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matias Soto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Rudolf Molleker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Rudolf Molleker

1st Serve In %

59.9%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.3%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.0%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matias Soto Rudolf Molleker

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

29.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matias Soto 0 – 0 Rudolf Molleker

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Rudolf Molleker #481

Matias Soto #262

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 52

26 First Serve In 26

16 First Serve Won 18

6 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker — Prediction