ATP tennis predict — Mathieu Scaglia vs Robin Bertrand

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Mathieu Scaglia

France

26.62%

Robin Bertrand

France

73.38%

Average Odds

4.97 / 1.15

Market probability

18.79% / 81.21%

Why This Prediction?

Robin Bertrand is the favorite because he has more career match wins (46 vs 2), more wins on hard courts (45 vs 2) and better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2).

Player Comparison

1536.0 Elo 1477.8

1571.1 Elo (surface) 1508.0

2 Wins (Challenger) 46

2 Wins (surface) 45

2 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 0.999

979 Rank 409

27.8 Age 23.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mathieu Scaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Robin Bertrand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mathieu Scaglia Robin Bertrand

1st Serve In %

—

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mathieu Scaglia Robin Bertrand

Break Points Saved %

—

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mathieu Scaglia 0 – 0 Robin Bertrand

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Robin Bertrand #409

Mathieu Scaglia #979

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

62 Service Points 49

34 First Serve In 34

23 First Serve Won 26

10 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Mathieu Scaglia vs Robin Bertrand — Prediction