ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Marek Gengel

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

54.62%

Marek Gengel

Czech Republic

45.38%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.99

Market probability

68.89% / 31.11%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1702.8 Elo 1528.7

1461.9 Elo (surface) 1564.2

145 Wins (Challenger) 72

4 Wins (surface) 63

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.084 Dominance ratio 1.166

260 Rank 390

25.4 Age 31.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Marek Gengel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Marek Gengel

1st Serve In %

66.0%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

59.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

56.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.71

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Marek Gengel

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 0 Marek Gengel

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

qualification - round of 16

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #260

Marek Gengel #390

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

52 Service Points 58

31 First Serve In 39

23 First Serve Won 23

14 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Marek Gengel — Prediction