ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hugo Dellien

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

50.29%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

49.71%

Average Odds

2.51 / 1.47

Market probability

36.93% / 63.07%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1732.3 Elo 1775.1

1758.7 Elo (surface) 1806.5

146 Wins (Challenger) 263

141 Wins (surface) 262

10 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 3

1.247 Dominance ratio 0.890

251 Rank 129

25.5 Age 33.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

66.0%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1 – 3 Hugo Dellien

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Hugo Dellien #129

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #251

5-7 6-4 6-4

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

46 First Serve Won 53

14 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Itajai CH · 2026-01-19

R32

Hugo Dellien #137

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #297

6-4 4-6 7-6(7)

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 7

108 Service Points 117

82 First Serve In 62

47 First Serve Won 38

16 Second Serve Won 26

2 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Iasi CH · 2025-07-07

R32

Hugo Dellien #79

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #287

6-3 3-6 6-4

3 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 2

97 Service Points 113

66 First Serve In 72

49 First Serve Won 44

14 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santa Fe CH · 2024-06-03

R16

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #330

Hugo Dellien #168

5-2 RET

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

28 Service Points 20

21 First Serve In 19

15 First Serve Won 7

2 Second Serve Won 0

4 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Sao Paulo CH · 2021-11-29

R32

Hugo Dellien #119

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #286

6-3 7-5

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

64 Service Points 53

50 First Serve In 31

37 First Serve Won 23

10 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Last 10

Hugo Dellien — Last 10