ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Henri Squire

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

61.77%

Henri Squire

Germany

38.23%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.04

Market probability

54.40% / 45.60%

Why This Prediction?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1696 vs 1643), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1724 vs 1637) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1696.3 Elo 1643.2

1724.1 Elo (surface) 1637.1

139 Wins (Challenger) 143

137 Wins (surface) 83

13 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.982 Dominance ratio 1.120

297 Rank 214

25.3 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Henri Squire

1st Serve In %

66.0%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

57.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Henri Squire

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 0 Henri Squire

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #297

Henri Squire #214

6-2 7-6

0 Aces 1

10 Double Faults 1

72 Service Points 82

46 First Serve In 52

24 First Serve Won 32

10 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 9

11 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Henri Squire — Prediction