ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Florian Broska

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · 1. round 10:35

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

52.33%

Florian Broska

Germany

47.67%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.61

Market probability

64.29% / 35.71%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1691.1 Elo 1702.8

1717.1 Elo (surface) 1717.9

140 Wins (Challenger) 26

138 Wins (surface) 13

12 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.050 Dominance ratio 1.167

277 Rank 290

25.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Florian Broska

1st Serve In %

66.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

60.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Florian Broska

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 0 Florian Broska

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #277

Florian Broska #290

7-6 3-6 7-5

3 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 3

109 Service Points 110

78 First Serve In 60

52 First Serve Won 39

15 Second Serve Won 30

6 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Florian Broska — Prediction