ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Dylan Dietrich

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · QF 12:30

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

45.11%

Dylan Dietrich

Switzerland

54.89%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.72

Market probability

45.74% / 54.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1711.6 Elo 1712.0

1737.6 Elo (surface) 1761.8

142 Wins (Challenger) 16

140 Wins (surface) 9

13 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 0.907

277 Rank 437

25.4 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Dylan Dietrich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Dylan Dietrich

1st Serve In %

66.0%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

80.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

60.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Dylan Dietrich

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 0 Dylan Dietrich

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #277

Dylan Dietrich #437

4-6 6-3 6-4

3 Aces 6

9 Double Faults 1

123 Service Points 90

77 First Serve In 60

51 First Serve Won 40

21 Second Serve Won 11

16 Break Points Saved 9

19 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Dylan Dietrich — Prediction