ATP tennis predict — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Christian Langmo

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

67.34%

Christian Langmo

USA

32.66%

Average Odds

1.33 / 3.08

Market probability

69.84% / 30.16%

Why This Prediction?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1459), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1426 vs 1406) and a stronger return game (39.4% vs 33.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1697.5 Elo 1458.8

1426.4 Elo (surface) 1406.3

144 Wins (Challenger) 88

3 Wins (surface) 72

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.007 Dominance ratio 1.092

260 Rank 473

25.4 Age 30.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Christian Langmo

1st Serve In %

66.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Christian Langmo

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

25.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 0 Christian Langmo

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - 1. round

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #260

Christian Langmo #473

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 3

49 Service Points 49

28 First Serve In 33

23 First Serve Won 22

14 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Christian Langmo — Prediction