ATP tennis predict — Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicak

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Matej Dodig

Croatia

47.13%

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

52.87%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.25

Market probability

58.75% / 41.25%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1621.2 Elo 1654.5

1638.9 Elo (surface) 1671.8

77 Wins (Challenger) 51

57 Wins (surface) 49

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.196

254 Rank 266

21.1 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matej Dodig Mili Poljicak

1st Serve In %

65.9%

53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

58.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matej Dodig Mili Poljicak

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

27.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matej Dodig 0 – 1 Mili Poljicak

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Matej Dodig #254

Mili Poljicak #266

6-2 6-3

7 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 1

45 Service Points 46

33 First Serve In 27

28 First Serve Won 15

9 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Split CH · 2026-03-23

QF

Mili Poljicak #396

Matej Dodig #214

4-1 RET

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

16 Service Points 16

10 First Serve In 11

9 First Serve Won 5

3 Second Serve Won 3

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicak — Prediction