ATP tennis predict — Matej Dodig vs Jannik Opitz

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Matej Dodig

Croatia

79.40%

Jannik Opitz

Germany

20.60%

Average Odds

1.11 / 5.84

Market probability

84.03% / 15.97%

Why This Prediction?

Matej Dodig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1595 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1497) and more wins on clay courts (51 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1569.8 Elo 1497.3

1595.3 Elo (surface) 1397.3

71 Wins (Challenger) 6

51 Wins (surface) 1

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.998 Dominance ratio 0.918

258 Rank 850

21.0 Age 28.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Jannik Opitz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matej Dodig Jannik Opitz

1st Serve In %

65.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matej Dodig Jannik Opitz

Break Points Saved %

61.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matej Dodig 0 – 0 Jannik Opitz

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Matej Dodig #258

Jannik Opitz #850

7-6 6-2

6 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 75

39 First Serve In 40

30 First Serve Won 29

16 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.8

Matej Dodig vs Jannik Opitz — Prediction