ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Tom Gentzsch

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

20.24%

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

79.76%

Average Odds

2.75 / 1.41

Market probability

33.89% / 66.11%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1745 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1807 vs 1438) and more wins on clay courts (38 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1487.7 Elo 1745.4

1437.9 Elo (surface) 1807.4

15 Wins (Challenger) 60

5 Wins (surface) 38

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.238 Dominance ratio 0.973

422 Rank 145

22.2 Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Tom Gentzsch

1st Serve In %

—

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Tom Gentzsch

Break Points Saved %

—

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 0 Tom Gentzsch

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Massimo Giunta #422

Tom Gentzsch #145

6-3 7-6

2 Aces 9

0 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 64

37 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Massimo Giunta vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction