ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Samuel Heredia

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

45.54%

Samuel Heredia

Colombia

54.46%

Average Odds

1.33 / 3.15

Market probability

70.31% / 29.69%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1398.2 Elo 1495.5

1469.2 Elo (surface) 1467.3

11 Wins (Challenger) 12

9 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.157 Dominance ratio 1.146

425 Rank 644

22.0 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Samuel Heredia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Samuel Heredia

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Samuel Heredia

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 0 Samuel Heredia

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Massimo Giunta #425

Samuel Heredia #644

6-1 6-4

7 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 2

38 Service Points 47

24 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 19

14 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Massimo Giunta vs Samuel Heredia — Prediction