ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs S D Prajwal Dev

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

60.26%

S D Prajwal Dev

India

39.74%

Average Odds

1.15 / 4.84

Market probability

80.80% / 19.20%

Why This Prediction?

Massimo Giunta is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.2% vs 57.5% of service points won), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1447 vs 1306) and more aces per game (0.30 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1370.8 Elo 1334.4

1447.3 Elo (surface) 1305.9

10 Wins (Challenger) 13

8 Wins (surface) 10

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.082 Dominance ratio 0.924

429 Rank 628

22.0 Age 30.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

S D Prajwal Dev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta S D Prajwal Dev

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta S D Prajwal Dev

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 0 S D Prajwal Dev

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Massimo Giunta #425

S D Prajwal Dev #627

6-4 7-6

17 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

68 Service Points 112

42 First Serve In 63

37 First Serve Won 41

16 Second Serve Won 26

1 Break Points Saved 16

1 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.8

Massimo Giunta vs S D Prajwal Dev — Prediction