ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

28.94%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

71.06%

Average Odds

2.15 / 1.64

Market probability

43.27% / 56.73%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1599 vs 1379), a higher Elo rating (1609 vs 1447) and more wins on clay courts (78 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1447.1 Elo 1608.8

1379.1 Elo (surface) 1598.5

14 Wins (Challenger) 105

4 Wins (surface) 78

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.218 Dominance ratio 1.014

422 Rank 448

22.2 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

—

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 0 Oleksii Krutykh

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Massimo Giunta #422

Oleksii Krutykh #448

4-6 7-5 6-3

13 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 91

65 First Serve In 47

46 First Serve Won 32

21 Second Serve Won 26

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Massimo Giunta vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction