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Massimo Giunta vs Giovanni Oradini — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

43.09%

Giovanni Oradini

Italy

56.91%

Average Odds

1.63  /  2.16

Market probability

56.99%  /  43.01%

Why This Prediction?

Giovanni Oradini is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1475 vs 1414), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1492 vs 1323) and more wins on clay courts (30 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1413.5 Elo 1475.1
1323.3 Elo (surface) 1492.2
13 Wins (Challenger) 43
3 Wins (surface) 30
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.138 Dominance ratio 0.976
422 Rank 637
22.2 Age 29.0
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Giovanni Oradini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Giovanni Oradini

1st Serve In %

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%
66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%
52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%
45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Giovanni Oradini

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

18.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%
26.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 00 Giovanni Oradini

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Massimo Giunta #422

Giovanni Oradini #637

7-5 7-6
7 Aces 9
1 Double Faults 1
67 Service Points 73
40 First Serve In 41
37 First Serve Won 33
16 Second Serve Won 18
0 Break Points Saved 1
1 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Massimo Giunta — Last 10

L L W W W L W L L W

Giovanni Oradini — Last 10

L W W L W L L W L L