ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

50.50%

Federico Arnaboldi

Italy

49.50%

Average Odds

1.75 / 1.96

Market probability

52.83% / 47.17%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1549.1 Elo 1548.6

1495.4 Elo (surface) 1542.1

16 Wins (Challenger) 72

6 Wins (surface) 60

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.252 Dominance ratio 0.903

388 Rank 476

22.2 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Arnaboldi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Federico Arnaboldi

1st Serve In %

—

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

56.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Federico Arnaboldi

Break Points Saved %

—

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

32.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta and Federico Arnaboldi have never played each other.

Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi — Prediction