ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Dusan Obradovic

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · R16 09:30

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

63.32%

Dusan Obradovic

Serbia

36.68%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.07

Market probability

69.61% / 30.39%

Why This Prediction?

Massimo Giunta is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (72.1% vs 52.0% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1446 vs 1404) and more career match wins (13 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1445.9 Elo 1404.0

1358.7 Elo (surface) 1393.0

13 Wins (Challenger) 5

3 Wins (surface) 5

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.232 Dominance ratio 0.752

422 Rank 496

22.2 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Dusan Obradovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Dusan Obradovic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

42.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Dusan Obradovic

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

73.8%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.6%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 0 Dusan Obradovic

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-02

R16

Dusan Obradovic #496

Massimo Giunta #422

3-6 6-1 7-6

1 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 7

89 Service Points 123

59 First Serve In 69

42 First Serve Won 48

13 Second Serve Won 28

5 Break Points Saved 18

8 Break Points Faced 20

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Massimo Giunta vs Dusan Obradovic — Prediction