ATP tennis predict — Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · QF 11:00

Predicted probability

Massimo Giunta

Italy

33.26%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

66.74%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.53

Market probability

39.64% / 60.36%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1721 vs 1609), a higher Elo rating (1741 vs 1625) and more wins on clay courts (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1624.6 Elo 1741.4

1609.5 Elo (surface) 1720.9

19 Wins (Challenger) 126

9 Wins (surface) 67

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.252 Dominance ratio 1.129

390 Rank 233

22.2 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–5L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

—

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

70.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.6%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Massimo Giunta Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

—

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.1%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Massimo Giunta 0 – 1 Alejandro Moro Canas

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Alejandro Moro Canas #222

Massimo Giunta #425

7-6 5-7 6-4

10 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 1

98 Service Points 121

68 First Serve In 88

56 First Serve Won 63

18 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 10

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Massimo Giunta vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction