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Masamichi Imamura vs Kaichi Uchida — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

58.35%

Kaichi Uchida

Japan

41.65%

Average Odds

1.40  /  2.69

Market probability

65.77%  /  34.23%

Why This Prediction?

Masamichi Imamura is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1527 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating (1523 vs 1454) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1523.0 Elo 1454.3
1526.7 Elo (surface) 1468.6
49 Wins (Challenger) 165
49 Wins (surface) 136
6 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.878 Dominance ratio 0.791
408 Rank 379
27.9 Age 32.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–7L · 12.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kaichi Uchida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Kaichi Uchida

1st Serve In %

—
62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%
55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%
45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Kaichi Uchida

Break Points Saved %

—
63.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%
46.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%
34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Masamichi Imamura and Kaichi Uchida have never played each other.

Masamichi Imamura — Last 10

L L L L L W W L W W

Kaichi Uchida — Last 10

L L L L L L L L L L