ATP tennis predict — Masamichi Imamura vs Darian King

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

31.62%

Darian King

Barbados

68.38%

Average Odds

1.41 / 2.74

Market probability

66.02% / 33.98%

Why This Prediction?

Darian King is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1702 vs 1521), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1701 vs 1549) and more wins on hard courts (58 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1521.3 Elo 1702.3

1548.8 Elo (surface) 1700.6

46 Wins (Challenger) 110

46 Wins (surface) 93

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.837 Dominance ratio 0.775

418 Rank 1322

27.7 Age 34.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Darian King

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Darian King

1st Serve In %

—

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Darian King

Break Points Saved %

—

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

59.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

48.7%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Masamichi Imamura 0 – 0 Darian King

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Masamichi Imamura #418

Darian King #1322

7-5 6-1

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

57 Service Points 54

33 First Serve In 33

24 First Serve Won 18

14 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Masamichi Imamura vs Darian King — Prediction