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Masamichi Imamura vs Antoine Ghibaudo — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 10:45

Predicted probability

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

36.56%

Antoine Ghibaudo

France

63.44%

Average Odds

2.37  /  1.54

Market probability

39.39%  /  60.61%

Why This Prediction?

Antoine Ghibaudo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1650 vs 1560), a higher Elo rating (1565 vs 1536) and a stronger serve (63.9% vs 58.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1535.7 Elo 1564.9
1560.4 Elo (surface) 1650.2
47 Wins (Challenger) 55
47 Wins (surface) 44
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.918 Dominance ratio 0.941
415 Rank 351
27.7 Age 21.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Antoine Ghibaudo

1st Serve In %

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%
63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%
66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%
55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%
26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%
48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Masamichi Imamura Antoine Ghibaudo

Break Points Saved %

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%
58.2%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Masamichi Imamura 00 Antoine Ghibaudo

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11
7-6 6-3
0 Aces 4
0 Double Faults 4
63 Service Points 57
31 First Serve In 33
24 First Serve Won 24
22 Second Serve Won 11
1 Break Points Saved 1
2 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Masamichi Imamura — Last 10

L L L L W W L W W L

Antoine Ghibaudo — Last 10

L L W W W L L W L L