ATP tennis predict — Marvin Moeller vs Dali Blanch

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Marvin Moeller

Germany

60.61%

Dali Blanch

USA

39.39%

Average Odds

1.72 / 1.99

Market probability

53.64% / 46.36%

Why This Prediction?

Marvin Moeller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1756 vs 1632) and a higher Elo rating (1757 vs 1629).

Player Comparison

1757.2 Elo 1628.9

1756.1 Elo (surface) 1632.2

77 Wins (Challenger) 64

52 Wins (surface) 53

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.881 Dominance ratio 1.055

256 Rank 330

27.7 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marvin Moeller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Dali Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marvin Moeller Dali Blanch

1st Serve In %

62.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

56.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

37.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.26

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

58.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marvin Moeller Dali Blanch

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

51.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marvin Moeller and Dali Blanch have never played each other.

Marvin Moeller vs Dali Blanch — Prediction