ATP tennis predict — Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Marton Fucsovics

Hungary

40.25%

Corentin Moutet

France

59.75%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.82

Market probability

48.02% / 51.98%

Why This Prediction?

Corentin Moutet is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (37.3% vs 31.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1731.9 Elo 1679.4

1705.0 Elo (surface) 1695.9

276 Wins 161

165 Wins (surface) 78

6 Last 15 form 4

2 Head-to-head wins 2

0.807 Dominance ratio 0.983

84 Rank 57

34.5 Age 27.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marton Fucsovics

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Corentin Moutet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marton Fucsovics Corentin Moutet

1st Serve In %

60.1%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

61.0%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marton Fucsovics Corentin Moutet

Break Points Saved %

69.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

38.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.5%

58.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marton Fucsovics 2 – 2 Corentin Moutet

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Corentin Moutet #59

Marton Fucsovics #83

6-1 6-2

1 Aces 2

8 Double Faults 0

46 Service Points 37

21 First Serve In 22

13 First Serve Won 17

8 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

13 Winners 14

26 Unforced Errors 11

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Cincinnati Masters · 2024-08-12

Q2

Corentin Moutet #71

Marton Fucsovics #84

6-2 2-6 6-3

1 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 7

77 Service Points 83

51 First Serve In 38

38 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 22

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Bucharest · 2024-04-15

QF

Marton Fucsovics #82

Corentin Moutet #92

4-6 6-4 6-1

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

96 Service Points 108

58 First Serve In 71

35 First Serve Won 37

21 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Vienna · 2022-10-24

Q1

Marton Fucsovics #104

Corentin Moutet #64

7-5 6-2

3 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

58 Service Points 69

38 First Serve In 48

26 First Serve Won 25

8 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Adelaide 2 · 2022-01-10

R16

Corentin Moutet #115

Marton Fucsovics #38

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 5

51 Service Points 53

35 First Serve In 30

24 First Serve Won 19

9 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Marton Fucsovics — Last 10

Corentin Moutet — Last 10