ATP tennis predict — Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 22:30

Predicted probability

Martin Landaluce

Spain

59.15%

Mattia Bellucci

Italy

40.85%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.23

Market probability

57.92% / 42.08%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Landaluce is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1712 vs 1673), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1667 vs 1646) and a better head-to-head record against Mattia Bellucci (4-0).

Player Comparison

1712.3 Elo 1673.4

1666.9 Elo (surface) 1646.0

25 Wins 64

18 Wins (surface) 40

7 Last 15 form 8

4 Head-to-head wins 0

1.075 Dominance ratio 1.085

67 Rank 81

20.6 Age 25.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Mattia Bellucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci

1st Serve In %

56.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

35.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci

Break Points Saved %

68.7%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

43.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce 4 – 0 Mattia Bellucci

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

1. round

Mattia Bellucci #81

Martin Landaluce #67

6-4 6-7 6-1

1 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 6

92 Service Points 93

55 First Serve In 58

35 First Serve Won 43

18 Second Serve Won 20

6 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 6

17 Winners 23

43 Unforced Errors 40

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Rome Masters · 2026-05-06

R32

Martin Landaluce #94

Mattia Bellucci #80

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 4

44 Service Points 80

28 First Serve In 42

24 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Birmingham CH · 2025-06-02

R32

Martin Landaluce #145

Mattia Bellucci #68

4-6 6-4 7-6(5)

5 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 7

98 Service Points 125

60 First Serve In 78

46 First Serve Won 55

18 Second Serve Won 21

0 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canberra CH · 2024-12-30

R32

Martin Landaluce #151

Mattia Bellucci #103

6-3 6-2

6 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

46 Service Points 48

25 First Serve In 30

21 First Serve Won 18

16 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Olbia CH · 2024-10-14

F

Martin Landaluce #232

Mattia Bellucci #106

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 68

45 First Serve In 43

35 First Serve Won 31

8 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce — Last 10

Mattia Bellucci — Last 10