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Martin Landaluce vs Marco Trungelliti — Prediction

ATP Hard Beijing · qualification - round of 16 07:00

Predicted probability

Martin Landaluce

Spain

70.98%

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

29.02%

Average Odds

1.45  /  2.63

Market probability

64.46%  /  35.54%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Landaluce is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1784 vs 1634) and a higher Elo rating (1826 vs 1805).

Player Comparison

1826.3 Elo 1805.0
1784.3 Elo (surface) 1633.8
25 Wins 132
18 Wins (surface) 49
6 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.019 Dominance ratio 0.957
73 Rank 88
20.7 Age 36.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Marco Trungelliti

1st Serve In %

56.0%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%
44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57
0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%
68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%
38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%
52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Marco Trungelliti

Break Points Saved %

68.7%
61.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%
63.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%
35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce and Marco Trungelliti have never played each other.

Martin Landaluce — Last 10

L L L L W W L L L L

Marco Trungelliti — Last 10

L W W W L L W L W W