ATP tennis predict — Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Martin Landaluce

Spain

32.89%

Jacob Fearnley

Great Britain

67.11%

Average Odds

1.95 / 1.85

Market probability

48.68% / 51.32%

Why This Prediction?

Jacob Fearnley is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1816 vs 1695), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1685 vs 1647) and fewer double faults per game (0.18 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1695.3 Elo 1816.2

1646.9 Elo (surface) 1684.9

25 Wins 41

18 Wins (surface) 23

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.076 Dominance ratio 1.164

65 Rank 100

20.6 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Jacob Fearnley

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Jacob Fearnley

1st Serve In %

56.0%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Jacob Fearnley

Break Points Saved %

68.7%

62.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

42.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

47.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce 0 – 0 Jacob Fearnley

Hard US Open · 2026-08-31

1. round

Jacob Fearnley #101

Martin Landaluce #65

4-6 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-3

16 Aces 8

13 Double Faults 16

151 Service Points 155

99 First Serve In 88

64 First Serve Won 65

19 Second Serve Won 31

7 Break Points Saved 7

16 Break Points Faced 14

36 Winners 45

68 Unforced Errors 55

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley — Prediction