ATP tennis predict — Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Martin Landaluce

Spain

25.15%

Jack Draper

Great Britain

74.85%

Average Odds

3.21 / 1.34

Market probability

29.45% / 70.55%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Draper is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1907 vs 1684), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1777 vs 1642) and a stronger serve (67.9% vs 61.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1684.1 Elo 1907.0

1642.0 Elo (surface) 1776.6

23 Wins 122

16 Wins (surface) 79

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.024 Dominance ratio 1.116

64 Rank 143

20.6 Age 24.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Jack Draper

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Jack Draper

1st Serve In %

56.0%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Jack Draper

Break Points Saved %

68.7%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

72.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce 0 – 0 Jack Draper

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

1. round

Martin Landaluce #64

Jack Draper #143

6-3 7-5

4 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 12

69 Service Points 92

34 First Serve In 48

25 First Serve Won 33

17 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 8

5 Break Points Faced 13

21 Winners 33

24 Unforced Errors 47

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draper — Prediction