ATP tennis predict — Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Martin Landaluce

Spain

45.18%

Ilia Simakin

Russia

54.82%

Average Odds

1.95 / 1.76

Market probability

47.44% / 52.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1798.6 Elo 1851.7

1739.6 Elo (surface) 1871.5

73 Wins (Challenger) 82

42 Wins (surface) 79

8 Last 15 form 15

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.090 Dominance ratio 1.071

73 Rank 154

20.8 Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Landaluce

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Ilia Simakin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 12W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Ilia Simakin

1st Serve In %

56.0%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

42.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.54

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

56.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

64.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

58.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Landaluce Ilia Simakin

Break Points Saved %

65.3%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

24.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin have never played each other.

Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin — Prediction