ATP tennis predict — Martin Krumich vs Sebastian Sorger

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

77.78%

Sebastian Sorger

Austria

22.22%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.95

Market probability

52.28% / 47.72%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Krumich is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1622 vs 1402), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1621 vs 1425) and more career match wins (73 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1622.0 Elo 1402.4

1621.3 Elo (surface) 1425.5

73 Wins (Challenger) 6

61 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.789 Dominance ratio 0.825

263 Rank 364

23.7 Age 20.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Sebastian Sorger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Krumich Sebastian Sorger

1st Serve In %

60.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.19

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

58.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Krumich Sebastian Sorger

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Krumich 0 – 0 Sebastian Sorger

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Martin Krumich #263

Sebastian Sorger #364

3-6 6-4 6-3

3 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 4

107 Service Points 91

57 First Serve In 53

44 First Serve Won 40

27 Second Serve Won 19

12 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Martin Krumich vs Sebastian Sorger — Prediction