ATP tennis predict — Martin Krumich vs Joel Schwaerzler

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

54.68%

Joel Schwaerzler

Austria

45.32%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.61

Market probability

42.04% / 57.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1637.0 Elo 1585.7

1635.3 Elo (surface) 1579.6

70 Wins (Challenger) 67

58 Wins (surface) 55

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.001 Dominance ratio 1.032

261 Rank 183

23.6 Age 20.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Joel Schwaerzler

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Krumich Joel Schwaerzler

1st Serve In %

60.5%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.6%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Krumich Joel Schwaerzler

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

32.0%

27.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Krumich 0 – 0 Joel Schwaerzler

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Martin Krumich #261

Joel Schwaerzler #183

6-2 6-3

4 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 1

67 Service Points 38

33 First Serve In 21

16 First Serve Won 21

16 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 0

11 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Martin Krumich vs Joel Schwaerzler — Prediction