ATP tennis predict — Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 23:30

Predicted probability

Martin Damm

USA

55.62%

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

44.38%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.29

Market probability

71.52% / 28.48%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Damm is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1626 vs 1607), a stronger serve (68.4% vs 59.9% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1718 vs 1709).

Player Comparison

1718.0 Elo 1709.3

1626.3 Elo (surface) 1606.6

29 Wins 8

20 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.113 Dominance ratio 0.765

100 Rank 155

22.9 Age 21.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Damm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Damm Stefanos Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

57.2%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.76

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.1%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.86

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Damm Stefanos Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Damm 0 – 0 Stefanos Sakellaridis

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-12

qualification - 1. round

Stefanos Sakellaridis #155

Martin Damm #100

6-4 7-6

9 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 84

51 First Serve In 44

39 First Serve Won 35

7 Second Serve Won 23

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 8

19 Winners 20

37 Unforced Errors 28

3.3 Average Odds 1.3

Martin Damm vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Prediction