ATP tennis predict — Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Martin Damm

USA

62.79%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

37.21%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.52

Market probability

73.33% / 26.67%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Damm is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1718 vs 1594), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1619 vs 1560) and a stronger serve (68.4% vs 57.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1717.6 Elo 1594.1

1618.6 Elo (surface) 1559.7

27 Wins 19

18 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.167 Dominance ratio 0.987

105 Rank 261

22.8 Age 22.7

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Damm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Damm Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

57.2%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.3%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.76

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.1%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.86

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Damm Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Damm 0 – 0 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-24

1. round

Martin Damm #92

Abedallah Shelbayh #256

6-4 7-6

16 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 5

68 Service Points 81

39 First Serve In 45

34 First Serve Won 30

15 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 8

30 Winners 11

43 Unforced Errors 30

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Washington · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Martin Damm #93

Abedallah Shelbayh #507

4-6 7-5 7-6

13 Aces 8

7 Double Faults 3

106 Service Points 107

67 First Serve In 71

49 First Serve Won 51

21 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction