ATP tennis predict — Martin Borisiouk vs Yuta Kawahashi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Martin Borisiouk

Belarus

73.04%

Yuta Kawahashi

Japan

26.96%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.60

Market probability

74.07% / 25.93%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Borisiouk is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1468 vs 1375), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1485 vs 1381) and more career match wins (6 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1468.2 Elo 1375.3

1485.2 Elo (surface) 1380.6

6 Wins (Challenger) 3

6 Wins (surface) 3

6 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.184 Dominance ratio 0.960

1003 Rank 663

26.2 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Borisiouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Yuta Kawahashi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Borisiouk Yuta Kawahashi

1st Serve In %

53.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

54.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.43

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.71

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.1%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.1%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Borisiouk Yuta Kawahashi

Break Points Saved %

28.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.9%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

40.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Borisiouk 0 – 0 Yuta Kawahashi

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Martin Borisiouk #1003

Yuta Kawahashi #663

6-3 4-0

0 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

9 First Serve Won 20

7 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Martin Borisiouk vs Yuta Kawahashi — Prediction