ATP tennis predict — Martin Borisiouk vs Kristjan Tamm

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 04:10

Predicted probability

Martin Borisiouk

Belarus

75.29%

Kristjan Tamm

Estonia

24.71%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.54

Market probability

73.75% / 26.25%

Why This Prediction?

Martin Borisiouk is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1541 vs 1334), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1557 vs 1393) and more career match wins (10 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1541.3 Elo 1334.5

1556.6 Elo (surface) 1392.9

10 Wins (Challenger) 4

10 Wins (surface) 3

10 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.184 Dominance ratio 1.012

861 Rank 1111

26.2 Age 28.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Martin Borisiouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Kristjan Tamm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Borisiouk Kristjan Tamm

1st Serve In %

53.3%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

54.2%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

28.6%

43.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

38.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.71

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.6%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Martin Borisiouk Kristjan Tamm

Break Points Saved %

28.6%

82.1%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.3%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.5%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Martin Borisiouk and Kristjan Tamm have never played each other.

Martin Borisiouk vs Kristjan Tamm — Prediction