ATP tennis predict — Marko Topo vs Vitaliy Sachko

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · R16 13:00

Predicted probability

Marko Topo

Germany

40.35%

Vitaliy Sachko

Ukraine

59.65%

Average Odds

2.49 / 1.49

Market probability

37.44% / 62.56%

Why This Prediction?

Vitaliy Sachko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1721 vs 1606), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1704 vs 1574) and a stronger return game (41.7% vs 40.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1606.2 Elo 1720.8

1573.5 Elo (surface) 1704.1

74 Wins (Challenger) 172

58 Wins (surface) 110

7 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 1.043

341 Rank 188

23.0 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Vitaliy Sachko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Vitaliy Sachko

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Vitaliy Sachko

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

67.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marko Topo 1 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Vitaliy Sachko #188

Marko Topo #341

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Banja Luka CH · 2021-09-06

R16

Marko Topo #1586

Vitaliy Sachko #269

6-1 3-6 7-6(5)

4 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

109 Service Points 103

62 First Serve In 65

38 First Serve Won 37

24 Second Serve Won 19

8 Break Points Saved 11

12 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Marko Topo vs Vitaliy Sachko — Prediction