ATP tennis predict — Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Marko Topo

Germany

55.79%

Miguel Damas

Spain

44.21%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.53

Market probability

63.09% / 36.91%

Why This Prediction?

Marko Topo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1542 vs 1483), the advantage of playing in his home country and more wins on clay courts (10 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1542.1 Elo 1482.8

1555.1 Elo (surface) 1510.5

73 Wins (Challenger) 64

57 Wins (surface) 52

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.890 Dominance ratio 1.193

338 Rank 302

23.0 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

58.8%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marko Topo 0 – 0 Miguel Damas

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Miguel Damas #313

Marko Topo #339

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 1

11 Double Faults 0

62 Service Points 54

30 First Serve In 42

18 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas — Prediction