ATP tennis predict — Marko Topo vs Daniel Elahi Galan

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Marko Topo

Germany

34.85%

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

65.15%

Average Odds

2.37 / 1.54

Market probability

39.39% / 60.61%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1666 vs 1507), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1661 vs 1517) and a stronger serve (69.0% vs 63.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1507.0 Elo 1665.6

1517.4 Elo (surface) 1660.8

73 Wins (Challenger) 231

57 Wins (surface) 191

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.041 Dominance ratio 1.275

341 Rank 335

23.0 Age 30.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Daniel Elahi Galan

1st Serve In %

58.8%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.6%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Marko Topo Daniel Elahi Galan

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Marko Topo 0 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Marko Topo #341

Daniel Elahi Galan #335

6-2 4-6 6-3

2 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 2

89 Service Points 94

48 First Serve In 54

32 First Serve Won 34

22 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Marko Topo vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Prediction