ATP tennis predict — Mark Lajal vs Gabi Adrian Boitan

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Mark Lajal

Estonia

81.39%

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Romania

18.61%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.81

Market probability

75.60% / 24.40%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1705 vs 1499), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1706 vs 1472) and more wins on hard courts (120 vs 11).

Player Comparison

1704.6 Elo 1499.0

1705.6 Elo (surface) 1472.2

134 Wins (Challenger) 49

120 Wins (surface) 11

11 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.042 Dominance ratio 1.039

152 Rank 500

23.3 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Lajal Gabi Adrian Boitan

1st Serve In %

61.5%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.2%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

67.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Lajal Gabi Adrian Boitan

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mark Lajal 0 – 0 Gabi Adrian Boitan

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

qualification - round of 16

Mark Lajal #152

Gabi Adrian Boitan #500

6-4 6-1

6 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 50

32 First Serve In 29

26 First Serve Won 13

14 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Mark Lajal vs Gabi Adrian Boitan — Prediction