ATP tennis predict — Mark Lajal vs Clement Chidekh

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Mark Lajal

Estonia

57.72%

Clement Chidekh

France

42.28%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.21

Market probability

57.85% / 42.15%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1689 vs 1614), a stronger serve (65.5% vs 58.7% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.27 vs 0.12).

Player Comparison

1688.5 Elo 1613.9

1702.3 Elo (surface) 1675.1

130 Wins (Challenger) 80

116 Wins (surface) 68

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.074 Dominance ratio 0.966

189 Rank 204

23.2 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Lajal Clement Chidekh

1st Serve In %

61.5%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.2%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.5%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.3%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Lajal Clement Chidekh

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mark Lajal 0 – 0 Clement Chidekh

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Mark Lajal #189

Clement Chidekh #204

7-6 7-5

10 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 91

47 First Serve In 55

34 First Serve Won 38

19 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Mark Lajal vs Clement Chidekh — Prediction