ATP tennis predict — Mark Ceban vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Mark Ceban

Great Britain

37.10%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

62.90%

Average Odds

2.14 / 1.65

Market probability

43.54% / 56.46%

Why This Prediction?

Michele Ribecai is the favorite because he has more career match wins (24 vs 2), a higher Elo rating (1486 vs 1477) and more wins on hard courts (13 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1477.4 Elo 1486.1

1539.1 Elo (surface) 1551.8

2 Wins (Challenger) 24

2 Wins (surface) 13

2 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.699 Dominance ratio 1.097

2097 Rank 260

17.6 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mark Ceban

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Ceban Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

82.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

83.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.5%

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.7%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Ceban Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mark Ceban 0 – 0 Michele Ribecai

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Michele Ribecai #276

Mark Ceban #1140

6-1 6-2

0 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 1

40 Service Points 51

25 First Serve In 35

10 First Serve Won 24

5 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Mark Ceban vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction