ATP tennis predict — Mark Ceban vs Iliyan Radulov

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Mark Ceban

Great Britain

42.22%

Iliyan Radulov

Bulgaria

57.78%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.82

Market probability

48.92% / 51.08%

Why This Prediction?

Iliyan Radulov is the favorite because he has more career match wins (8 vs 1), better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1) and more wins on hard courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1463.2 Elo 1429.1

1560.6 Elo (surface) 1490.2

1 Wins (Challenger) 8

1 Wins (surface) 3

1 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.558 Dominance ratio 0.848

2097 Rank 622

17.6 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mark Ceban

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Iliyan Radulov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Ceban Iliyan Radulov

1st Serve In %

82.2%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

83.8%

80.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.5%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.7%

64.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.5%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mark Ceban Iliyan Radulov

Break Points Saved %

—

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mark Ceban 0 – 0 Iliyan Radulov

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Mark Ceban #2097

Iliyan Radulov #622

6-1 7-6

2 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 0

72 Service Points 54

51 First Serve In 33

35 First Serve Won 19

12 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Mark Ceban vs Iliyan Radulov — Prediction