ATP tennis predict — Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Spain

37.79%

Viktor Durasovic

Norway

62.21%

Average Odds

2.40 / 1.52

Market probability

38.78% / 61.22%

Why This Prediction?

Viktor Durasovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1523 vs 1410), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1548 vs 1464) and more wins on hard courts (14 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1410.1 Elo 1522.7

1464.4 Elo (surface) 1547.7

11 Wins (Challenger) 148

9 Wins (surface) 95

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 0.933

648 Rank 465

24.4 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Viktor Durasovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Viktor Durasovic

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.7%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.4%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.6%

53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Viktor Durasovic

Break Points Saved %

—

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

44.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Viktor Durasovic have never played each other.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic — Prediction